Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.994677 33.441882 38.260942 43.860408 50.176730 57.069862 65.150481
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.498164 27.654210 34.973450 44.265193 55.689598 69.216073 86.376941
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.035813 23.917733 32.724009 44.699680 60.423125 80.209791 106.815412
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.010409 19.743510 28.934833 42.201294 60.621825 85.020059 119.445908
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.271330 18.257493 28.320826 43.573067 65.731792 96.307271 141.125098
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.162045 17.441529 28.435307 45.821302 72.083604 109.606991 166.408243
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.508952 15.487879 26.542032 44.779909 73.408408 115.730284 181.826217
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.975237 13.457271 24.216787 42.715485 72.848594 118.867643 192.894687
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.584614 13.306677 24.885862 45.447399 79.918099 133.898378 222.721224
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.449891 13.583686 26.281669 49.478550 89.354661 153.170998 260.248258
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.825784 12.846699 25.805866 50.229520 93.379294 164.081327 285.237467
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.168840 11.940103 24.902440 50.102478 95.844965 172.550801 306.729384
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.416263 10.760097 23.419081 48.907863 96.599195 178.661744 325.521263
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.887135 9.971440 22.605884 48.908015 99.549602 188.819393 352.007650
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.466282 9.345789 22.030764 49.289934 103.212284 200.445685 381.753950
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.838036 8.113434 20.014419 46.545730 100.682363 200.859790 391.909757
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.629043 7.859668 20.065508 48.038195 106.452855 216.639697 430.298051
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.507140 7.805064 20.550104 50.488636 114.308604 236.751139 477.673852
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.166412 7.102504 19.444774 49.353179 114.773013 242.965079 499.820496
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.810833 6.279289 17.926240 47.101849 112.684064 244.084690 512.423577
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.770988 6.363697 18.652160 50.080833 121.937306 267.905575 569.510496
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.796918 6.651968 19.928551 54.473473 134.568189 299.123220 642.416527
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.652793 6.383401 19.725222 55.291402 139.389024 314.921826 686.053464